CARIBVISTA | ACTION PLAN

🇦🇬

Antigua & Barbuda

10-YEAR ACTIVATION PLAN

Accessible Land

4,000 ha

Legally accessible idle land

Jobs Created

3,400-5,600

Direct + indirect (2.5x multiplier)

Year 10 Revenue

$32M

Annual at full capacity

CO2e Sequestered/yr

8,400 t

Verified carbon credits

Strategy: Extreme drought stress — pasture (drought-tolerant) + greenhouse (water-efficient) dominate. Limited freshwater = protected ag priority.

SECTION 1

Land Allocation

How 4,000 hectares are distributed across four farming systems.

20%

15%

40%

25%

Agroforestry (20%)

Food Crops (15%)

Pasture (40%)

Greenhouse (25%)

AGROFORESTRY

800

hectares

FOOD CROPS

600

hectares

PASTURE

1,600

hectares

GREENHOUSE

1,000

hectares

SECTION 2

Phase Timeline

10% pilot, then 30% scale, then 60% full capacity. Each phase proves the model before expanding.

10%

PILOT — Yr 1-2

400 ha

$6M investment

30%

SCALE — Yr 3-5

1,200 ha

$16M investment

60%

FULL — Yr 6-10

2,400 ha

$29M investment

SECTION 3

Farming Systems

AGROFORESTRY

800 ha

8.5 tCO2e/ha/yr

CoconutBreadfruitMangoTamarind

YIELD

4.5 t/ha

REVENUE

$5,200/ha

JOBS PER 100 HA

85

FOOD CROPS

600 ha

1.2 tCO2e/ha/yr

Sweet potatoPumpkinOkraHot pepper

YIELD

12 t/ha

REVENUE

$8,500/ha

JOBS PER 100 HA

120

PASTURE & LIVESTOCK

1,600 ha

1.8 tCO2e/ha/yr

Black belly sheepGoatBrachiaria

YIELD

2.5 t/ha

REVENUE

$3,200/ha

JOBS PER 100 HA

45

GREENHOUSE / PROTECTED

1,000 ha

0.3 tCO2e/ha/yr

LettuceTomatoesHerbsMicrogreens

YIELD

35 t/ha

REVENUE

$45,000/ha

JOBS PER 100 HA

250

SECTION 4

Dual-Channel Food Distribution

Sell 75% commercially to displace imports. Donate 25% to feed those in need.
Giving food away does not reduce imports — you must SELL locally to displace them.

Commercial 75%

Social 25%

COMMERCIAL CHANNELS — IMPORT DISPLACEMENT

30%

Supermarkets & grocery

Major retail chains

15%

Hotels & restaurants

Hospitality sector supply

10%

CSA boxes & delivery

Direct-to-consumer subscriptions

10%

Export (CARICOM)

Inter-island trade routes

10%

Wholesale markets

Bulk distribution to vendors

SOCIAL CHANNELS — FOOD ASSISTANCE

12%

School feeding

Institutional anchor buyer

8%

Food banks & hospitals

Community food assistance

5%

Disaster relief

Emergency reserves

SECTION 5

National Composting Programme

Barrel-swap model: households receive a barrel, fill it with organic waste, get paid $9/barrel. Finished compost goes to farms. Carbon credits fund the programme.

HOUSEHOLDS

88,000

4000 ha x 22 households/ha

PER BARREL KIT

$25

HDPE drum + mods + instructions

COLLECTION CYCLE

9 weeks

Swap full barrel for empty

PAYMENT / BARREL

$9

$45-54/yr per household

ANNUAL OUTPUT

39,600 t

Organic fertilizer

Replaces imported synthetic at 50-70% cost saving

20,988 t

Carbon credits (CO2e)

0.44-0.62 tCO2e per tonne of compost

$300K

Pilot programme cost

Year 1 launch budget per nation

SECTION 6

Financial Summary

$48M

Total 10-Year Investment

$32M

Year 10 Annual Revenue

17.5%

Internal Rate of Return

Year 4

Payback Period

CO2

CARBON CREDIT REVENUE

Agroforestry & reforestation A/R credits at $35/tCO2e

ANNUAL CREDITS

8,400

tCO2e / year at steady state

ANNUAL REVENUE (YR 10)

$294K

@ $35/tCO2e conservative

10-YEAR CUMULATIVE

$2M

With ramp-up (6.3x multiplier)

CARBON CREDIT RAMP-UP SCHEDULE

Yr 1-3: 30%

Yr 4-7: 60%

Yr 8-10: 100%

Trees mature over 3-7 years — carbon sequestration increases as canopy develops

CARBON BY FARMING SYSTEM

Agroforestry

6,800 t

$238K/yr

Food Crops

720 t

$25K/yr

Pasture & Livestock

2,880 t

$101K/yr

Greenhouse / Protected

300 t

$11K/yr

Methodology: Agroforestry and reforestation carbon credits command premium pricing ($25-45/tCO2e) under Verra VCS VM0047 and Gold Standard. Credits are verifiable from project start via continuous satellite monitoring (Sentinel-2, 5-day revisit). Conservative estimate uses $35/tCO2e — actual prices may be higher as A/R (afforestation/reforestation) credits are scarce and in growing demand.

INVESTMENT BY PHASE

Pilot (Yr 1-2)

$6M

Scale (Yr 3-5)

$16M

Full (Yr 6-10)

$29M

TOTAL JOBS

3,400-5,600

Direct + indirect at full capacity

ANNUAL CARBON SEQUESTRATION

8,400 tCO2e

Verified carbon credits potential

CARIBVISTA | 10-YEAR ACTION PLAN // ANTIGUA & BARBUDA

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© 2026 CaribVista Land Trust (proposed). All rights reserved.
Sources: FAO, CIFOR-ICRAF, CDB, IDB, CARICOM, World Bank, CCAP
CONFIDENTIAL — For named recipients only. Do not redistribute.