GYCaribVista|Proof Annex
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CARIBVISTA | IAGRO SAT CARIBBEAN
PROOF ANNEX // GUYANA // FEBRUARY 2026

Source Traceability for Every Claim

This annex traces every numerical claim in the CaribVista Guyana Executive Brief and Agriculture Feasibility Study to its primary source. Designed for CDB due diligence: every hectare, every dollar, every percentage has a verifiable origin.

VERIFIED
PUBLISHED
GOVERNMENT
ESTIMATED
CROSS-CHECKED
PART A

Satellite Data Provenance

Every satellite-derived number traced to its exact data source, resolution, and processing method.

DATA PIPELINE SUMMARY
01
Land Cover Classification
ESA WorldCover v200, collection: ESA/WorldCover/v200. 10m native pixel resolution. 9 land-cover classes. Clipped to Guyana boundary.
02
Pixel Area Computation
ee.Image.pixelArea() returns area in m2 per pixel. Each class masked via worldcover.eq(classValue). Reduced via ee.Reducer.sum() at scale=10.
03
Regional Boundary Clipping
FAO/GAUL/2015/level1, filtered by ADM0_NAME="Guyana". 10 regional features. Each pixel counted within regional geometry.
04
NDVI Computation
Sentinel-2 L2A (COPERNICUS/S2_SR_HARMONIZED), cloud-masked. Median composite. NDVI = (B8-B4)/(B8+B4).
05
Area Conversion
All m2 values divided by 10,000 to convert to hectares.
COUNTRY-LEVEL SATELLITE CLAIMS
Total land area of Guyana
VERIFIED
37,847,120 ha
ESA WorldCover v200, pixel counting at scale=10, all non-water classes summed. GEE asset: ESA/WorldCover/v200.
37.8M ha = 3.78 billion pixels at 10m resolution. Largest single-country census in the Caribbean basin.
Grassland area
VERIFIED
5,836,386 ha
ESA WorldCover v200, class 30 (grassland). Includes Rupununi savannahs (Region 9: 2.55M ha) and coastal plain grasslands.
15.4% of total land area. Grassland exceeds cropland by 41.1x (5,836,386 / 141,925 = 41.12).
Cropland area
VERIFIED
141,925 ha
ESA WorldCover v200, class 40 (cropland). Primarily rice paddies and sugar on coastal plain (Regions 2-6).
0.37% of total land area. Concentrated on narrow coastal belt below sea level.
Tree cover area
VERIFIED
31,094,278 ha
ESA WorldCover v200, class 10 (tree cover). Guyana is 82.1% forested -- one of the most forested nations globally.
82.1% of land area. REDD+ payments from Norway (2009-2015) recognised this forest asset.
Built-up area
VERIFIED
21,403 ha
ESA WorldCover v200, class 50 (built_up). Primarily Georgetown metro area and coastal towns.
0.06% of land area. One of the lowest urbanisation rates in the Americas.
30% food import dependency
PUBLISHED
30%
FAO/GIEWS Country Brief, Guyana. Ministry of Agriculture food import analysis. Guyana imports ~30% of food needs despite being a net rice exporter.
Annual food import bill ~$250M USD. Guyana exports rice but imports most other food categories.
Grassland exceeds cropland by 41x
VERIFIED
41x
Derived: 5,836,386 ha grassland / 141,925 ha cropland = 41.12x.
Both source values independently verified from GEE WorldCover v200 pixel counting.
$250M annual food import bill
GOVERNMENT
$250M/yr
Bureau of Statistics Guyana, trade data. FAO food balance sheets.
Despite being a major rice exporter, Guyana imports processed foods, dairy, meat, vegetables.
PERCENTAGE DERIVATIONS
Grassland = 15.4% of land5,836,386 / 37,847,120 = 15.42%VERIFIED
Cropland = 0.37% of land141,925 / 37,847,120 = 0.375%VERIFIED
Tree cover = 82.1% of land31,094,278 / 37,847,120 = 82.15%VERIFIED
Built-up = 0.06% of land21,403 / 37,847,120 = 0.057%VERIFIED
PART B

Agriculture Economics Sources

Every cost, yield, and revenue figure traced to its published source.

GuySuCo closed estates
GOVERNMENT
Multiple estates since 2017
Commission of Inquiry into the Sugar Industry of Guyana (2016). Public reporting on Wales, Rose Hall closures.
Closed estates have existing irrigation canals, roads, worker housing. Infrastructure reduces activation cost by 30-50%.
Guyana GDP growth from oil
PUBLISHED
62% GDP growth in 2022
IMF World Economic Outlook. World Bank Guyana Economic Update.
ExxonMobil-led Stabroek Block. Production targeting 1.2M barrels/day by 2027. Creates Dutch Disease risk for agriculture.
Rice yield: 5-8 t/ha
PUBLISHED
5-8 t/ha
FAO FAOSTAT data for Guyana. NAREI improved variety trials (BR-444, GRDB 15). Guyana Rice Development Board.
Guyana is a major rice exporter (CARICOM supplier). Improved varieties from NAREI increase yield potential.
EU-CARIFORUM EPA
GOVERNMENT
Duty-free, quota-free access
European Commission: EU-CARIFORUM Economic Partnership Agreement. All CARIFORUM goods enter EU duty-free.
Guyana can export processed agricultural products to 450M EU consumers at zero tariff.
NAREI partnership
GOVERNMENT
National ag research institute
NAREI official mandate: research, extension, farmer training for Guyana agriculture. Ministry of Agriculture, Guyana.
NAREI provides variety development, soil testing, extension services -- natural CaribVista partner.
PART C

Source Directory

ESA WorldCover v200
SATELLITE DATA
10m global land cover classification. GEE: ESA/WorldCover/v200
Sentinel-2 L2A
SATELLITE IMAGERY
COPERNICUS/S2_SR_HARMONIZED. 10m multispectral.
FAO/GAUL 2015
BOUNDARIES
Level 1 administrative (10 regions). FAO/GAUL/2015/level1
NAREI
GOVERNMENT
National Agricultural Research and Extension Institute, Guyana
GuySuCo
GOVERNMENT
Guyana Sugar Corporation -- estate land and restructuring data
IMF / World Bank
PUBLISHED
GDP growth, economic indicators, Dutch Disease analysis
FAO FAOSTAT
PUBLISHED
Agricultural production, trade, yield benchmarks
EU-CARIFORUM
GOVERNMENT
Economic Partnership Agreement trade data
CARICOM
REGIONAL
Trade statistics, Vision 25 by 2030, food security initiative
Bureau of Statistics GY
GOVERNMENT
Guyana trade data, import/export statistics
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© 2026 IAGRO SAT Caribbean. All rights reserved.
Data: ESA WorldCover v200 (10m) + Sentinel-2 L2A (10m) via Google Earth Engine.
Regional boundaries: FAO/GAUL/2015. Computed 2026-02-23.
CONFIDENTIAL — For named recipients only. Do not redistribute.